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Annenberg School of Communication and Journalism University of Southern California
USC

Study: Native Angelinos Projected to be Majority in L.A.

The majority of Los Angeles residents will be California natives instead of immigrants.

According to the new demographic projections conducted by USC's Population Dynamics Research Group, the majority of Los Angeles residents will be California natives, rather than immigrants.

According to the report, by 2030, two-thirds of new residents will have been California natives.

"It's an extraordinary moment in Los Angeles history," report co-author Dowell Myers said. "Everything we know about L.A. will change."

Los Angeles has been defined as a city with a large immigrant population and dramatic ethnic change since 1990, but the trends have shifted.

The migration of new immigrants to L.A. annually has decreased to less than 25 percent of the rate in 1990.

Additionally, the Latino population increase rate has slowed to 3.2 percent, compared to the average rate of 10 percent in the 1980s.

The report also explained the number of newborn babies per year is declining, while the number of  elderly residents is increasing.The report predicts that the "senior ratio" will have gone up to 36.4 seniors per 100 working-age adults by 2030, which is projected to place a great burden on the working-age residents.

"The advantage of having these projections," co-author John Pitkin said, "is that they enable the residents of Los Angeles to better envision the depth and length of trends that have already begun."

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